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Practice
Continue a simple trend
Weekly orders rose from 96 to 102 to 108. If the +6 pattern continues one more week, what is the forecast?
Next-week order baselines
Simple methods expose how assumptions change the forecast
Forecast by method
Three-week average102
Last value108
Continue +6 trend114
The range is method sensitivity, not a guarantee. Monitor actual orders and revise the assumptions as new evidence arrives.