Free practice · numeric · medium
Practice
Use a last-value baseline
Weekly orders were 96, 102, and 108. Under a last-value forecast, what is next week's estimate?
Next-week order baselines
Simple methods expose how assumptions change the forecast
Forecast by method
Three-week average102
Last value108
Continue +6 trend114
The range is method sensitivity, not a guarantee. Monitor actual orders and revise the assumptions as new evidence arrives.