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Practice

Reject an automatic causal leap

If outcome B happens after event A, that timing alone proves A caused B.

Causal evidence ladder

Timing is necessary, but alternatives still need testing

  1. ObserveDescribe the outcome
  2. SequenceCause must come first
  3. MechanismExplain the pathway
  4. CompareUse equivalent cases
  5. AlternativesMeasure other changes
  6. BoundUse evidence-sized language

A causal interpretation grows stronger when sequence, mechanism, fair comparison, repeated evidence, and competing explanations agree.

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